Filipino youth are optimistic for the future

More than four in five Filipino youth have a positive outlook for the next five years, according to a new collaborative study by Vero Advocacy and Kadence International. However, this optimism is tempered by a strong demand for urgent reforms in employment, education, and healthcare.

The study surveyed over 2,700 Gen Z and Millennials across six Southeast Asian countries, including 453 respondents from the Philippines. Vero Advocacy, a government relations arm, and Kadence International, a global market research agency, aim to explore the shared perspectives of these generations, uncovering their aspirations and challenges to help guide governments and the private sector in developing policies and initiatives that address current needs and drive long-term growth.

According to the survey, 43% of Gen Z Filipinos expect a “much better” future, and 42% anticipate a “better” life in the next five years – only slightly higher than the combined optimism rate of Millennial Filipinos, which stands at 84%. Overall, Filipino youth are more optimistic than their peers in Singapore (69%) and Malaysia (77%), with similar levels of hope for the future as young people in Indonesia (89%), Vietnam (89%), and Thailand (87%).

Both Gen Zs and Millennials in the Philippines, however, identified employment opportunities, quality education, and accessible healthcare as their top challenges. Though these issues are prevalent across the surveyed markets, satisfaction rates for these three areas of concern were the lowest among Filipino respondents. Other concerns include environmental protection, affordable housing, and effective taxation and resource management.

Employment opportunities – or the lack thereof – create uncertainty

Many young Filipinos feel uncertain about their professional futures, with 35% of Gen Z and Millennial respondents expressing a dissatisfaction over job security. Indeed, Filipino youth were the least satisfied with job security among the six countries surveyed, with a 29% satisfaction rate that lags far behind the second lowest satisfaction rate of 43% for Malaysia.

It comes as no surprise, then, that 31% of Gen Z Filipinos and 36% of Millennial Filipinos ranked employment opportunities as the top challenge they face, with most citing a lack of jobs as a key issue. For these young generations, securing a stable job is directly tied to achieving a stable life, as it ensures not just the ability to meet daily needs, but also long-term access to healthcare, housing, and further education.

To help address this issue, Filipino youth are calling for job creation programs and better employment services like career counseling and job placement schemes. These can provide students with the mentorship and opportunities they need to succeed in their chosen careers. Many also feel that additional training and education can help bridge the gap between workers and employers, helping young people align their skills with the evolving work landscape and establish sustainable careers.

High education costs education limit opportunities for Filipino youth

As with job security, Filipinos are the least satisfied with the cost of education in the region, with a satisfaction rate of 43% for Gen Z and 38% for Millennials.

Most respondents cited high costs as the main impediment to accessing quality education in the country, as families must contend with not just tuition, but also other school-related expenses like books, notebooks, uniforms, daily allowance, and special projects, school year after school year. The high cost of education is one of the main reasons why many young people forego secondary and tertiary education in the country, which further limits their employment opportunities and prevents them from building stable careers—and, by extension, a stable future.

Aside from cost, 31% of Gen Z and 30% of Millennial Filipinos cite the quality of education as the top challenge faced by the country. Many believe that the government should prioritize investments in educational facilities and technology, as well as enhanced professional development for educators. Gen Z Filipinos were more likely to indicate more support for students with special needs as something they would like to see in the future, while Millennial Filipinos raise the importance of regular review of and updates to school curricula to better prepare students for the future.

Healthcare access remains elusive for Filipino youth

Despite healthcare being a constitutional right, six out of ten Filipinos die without seeing a doctor, according to statistics from the Department of Health. Access to healthcare remains elusive for most Filipinos, with 10% of Filipino Gen Zs and 14% of Filipino Millennials citing it as the top challenge faced by the country.

Similar to employment opportunities and education costs, Philippine satisfaction rates for healthcare are the lowest in the regional survey, with only 36% of Filipino youth (39% of Gen Z and 34% of Millennials) saying they are satisfied with the current healthcare system in the country. 50% indicate that the high costs of healthcare services and treatments are a major challenge to accessing healthcare, while 25% point to the limited availability of facilities and equipment.

To improve the situation, survey respondents feel that the government must address issues of affordability, accessibility, and quality of healthcare services in the country.

Affordable housing options and better living conditions:

Young Southeast Asians, who are ushering in a new wave of urban mobility as they seek education and careers in major cities, dream of homes that offer comfort, security, and access to essential services, such as public transport, healthcare, and education. This is often tied to the broader goal of becoming financially independent and moving out of their family homes in the name of freedom, convenience, and personal growth.

All hands in: Recommendations for public policy and private initiatives

“As Southeast Asia’s youth are poised to drive the region’s future,” explained Pongsiri, Managing Partner at Vero Advocacy, “addressing these challenges is not just beneficial but essential for harnessing their full potential and ensuring a sustainable and inclusive economic growth.”

With its expertise in government relations in Southeast Asia, Vero Advocacy recognizes the essential link between youth, private stakeholders, and government. By understanding young people’s concerns, Vero Advocacy underscores the need for meaningful engagement and effective responses from governments and companies to create inclusive and sustainable policies and initiatives.

• Youth-Centric Policies – Governments should prioritize initiatives that guarantee access to quality education, expand job opportunities, and improve healthcare affordability and accessibility. By focusing on these areas, they can create a supportive environment for young people to thrive.

• Genuine Youth Engagement – It is crucial to involve young people in policy dialogues and decision-making processes. Their insights and perspectives should be actively sought, ensuring that their voices are both heard and valued in shaping policies that impact their future.

• Dedicated Spaces for Youth Advocacy – Establishing dedicated forums or platforms where youth can freely share their advocacy efforts is vital. These spaces should facilitate open dialogue, encourage innovative thinking, and provide opportunities for young individuals to highlight their contributions to national development.

• Support for Entrepreneurs – The private sector should develop entrepreneurial programs that leverage existing resources and expertise. By offering funding and training, businesses can nurture creativity and business acumen, empowering a new generation of innovators and leaders.

• Corporate Social Responsibility – Businesses should embed youth-centric goals into their Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) strategies, focusing on initiatives that uplift communities and address social issues pertinent to young people. This alignment will foster a more inclusive approach to social development.

“With Gen Z and Millennials comprising over half of the Philippine population, it is critical for leaders and changemakers to listen to their needs,” said Gio Tingson, Youth Advocate and former Chairperson of the National Youth Commission. “Many of us often hear and repeat Dr. Jose Rizal’s statement about youth being the hope of the motherland. But while it is true that young people are eager to effect change, it is just as important for us to listen to them and empower them with the tools they need to succeed and build a future that is sustainable for all.”

Source: Adobo Mag

Philippines needs 9-9.5% growth to return to pre-pandemic track

The economy needs to grow by at least 9% to 9.5% a year until 2028 to return to its pre-pandemic growth track, a former Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) official said.

During the MAP Economic Briefing and General Membership Meeting, GlobalSource Partners analyst Diwa C. Guinigundo said that the current government’s target of “between 6% to 8% annually, by 2036 (the Philippines) should be reaching only P60 trillion.”

“To overcome this setback, growth will have to be between 9% to 9.5% through 2028 to be able to return to the original growth path,” he said.

Last year, Mr. Guinigundo pushed for targets of 9.4% growth.

The Development Budget Coordination Committee (DBCC) on December trimmed the economic growth estimate for this year to 6-6.5% but widened the target band to 6-8% until 2028, due to “evolving domestic and global uncertainties.”

Finance Secretary Ralph G. Recto described as “doable” growth of between 6% and 6.5%.

In 2024, the economy expanded by 5.6%, following a 5.5% reading in 2023. It fell short of the government’s revised 6-6.5% target.

“We grew by only 5.5% in 2023 and 5.6% last year. Of course, we take pride in saying Philippine growth performance surpassed the global average in 2022 and 2023 of 3.5% and 3.3% respectively,” he said. 

“But we had the economy stall in 2020 and the years following that, so we have a lot of catching up to do.”

Mr. Guinigundo said risks to the economy include fiscal and debt sustainability, with revenue effort remaining low, food security issues, and political disunity.

“Since the Trump policy of tariff increases and tax cuts are potentially inflationary, we don’t expect the Fed to be very aggressive in reducing the target interest rate,” he added in his presentation.

“With the BSP having the space to further ease monetary policy, we see a potential capital outflow, peso depreciation, and therefore, the resurgence of inflation.”

Mr. Guinigundo noted that the budget deficit, which narrowed to P1.506 trillion in 2024, remains  in the “trillion mark.”

He said improved tax administration can only yield much, as can “squeezing” state-run firms for more dividends.

“This is after Congress forced the split banks and other GOCCs to continue to the Maharlika Investment Fund. No wonder, from the pre-pandemic (debt) of $7.7 trillion, we saw the crisis ending at $16 trillion. In January 2025, $300 billion was added to National Government debt,” he said.

Source: Business World

Trump’s Policies Could Raise US Home Prices

Tariffs and deportations threaten to make housing more expensive, pushing homeownership out of reach for millions.

Donald Trump campaigned on bringing down the cost of living, including house prices. But his administration is embracing policies that probably will make housing more expensive. Putting tariffs on Canadian lumber, drywall from Mexico, and imported appliances raise home prices. And deporting millions of undocumented workers will hamstring a construction industry where just under a quarter of workers are undocumented immigrants, said the left-leaning Center for American Progress.

“Anything that pushes the price of a home [or] build costs higher is going to be net detrimental for home buyers right now,” says Rick Palacios Jr. of real estate research firm John Burns Research and Consulting. “They are having a tough time as it is.” The new Trump policies come at a precarious time for the housing industry. Home prices hover at record levels, largely because construction has failed to keep up with demand.

The combination of high home prices and high mortgage rates has pushed homeownership out of reach for millions of Americans. There are few reasons to think the picture for buyers will dramatically improve this year. “The spring selling season will be very challenging if we don’t see some relief on rates,” says Ivy Zelman, executive vice president of housing research firm Zelman & Associates.

Mortgage rates have fallen to a recent 6.76%, but remain high. To be sure, Trump’s drive to cut regulations and lower interest rates could spur both home building and housing demand. The president directed agencies to lower the cost of housing and increase the supply of homes in an executive order decrying the burden that regulatory requirements add to the costs.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s focus on lowering long-term yields could also be a boon for buyers. The U.S. housing crisis is a supply and- demand problem. It would take three or more years of home building at current rates to meet the need for 3.7 million units, estimates Freddie Mac Deputy Chief Economist Len Kiefer.

The country has built an average of only one million single-family homes over the past five years, a trend that forecasters expect to continue in 2025. “The only way that we are going to solve [high home prices] is to put more supply on the market,” says Jim Tobin, CEO of the National Association of Home Builders, or NAHB, noting that both presidential candidates ran on improving housing affordability. “Some of the actions we’ve seen after that are maybe running counter to that.”

Inflation hit every part of the economy in the wake of the Covid-19 pandemic, and home materials were whacked particularly hard: The cost of construction materials is up more than 30%since the pandemic began, according to the NAHB. As lockdowns snarled supply chains, builders faced significant shortages of nearly everything, from windows and doors to home appliances, right when buyer demand was reaching its zenith.

It could get worse. New tariffs, including those on Canada and Mexico, complicate home building supply chains and ultimately drive up costs for buyers, the industry warns. “The cost of building is now just going to go up, and is ultimately going to be borne by the home buyer or renter,” says the NAHB’s Tobin. Tariffs on Canada and Mexico, which produce lumber and the gypsum used in drywall, are of concern—as are appliances from China.

The president announced the tariffs in early February before postponing enforcement of those on Canada and Mexico. An indication of future construction, the NAHB’s sentiment index, dropped in February by five points, its greatest decline since last May. “Uncertainty over the scale and scope of tariffs has builders further concerned about costs,” says Robert Dietz, the trade group’s chief economist.

“There is now more concern around deportation risk,” says Zelman, the housing researcher. A quarter of home builder respondents to the firm’s January survey said that the fear of immigration service raids resulted in higher levels of absenteeism among subcontractors, with the greatest impacts in Baton Rouge, La.; Chicago; Bakersfield, Calif.; San Antonio and Austin, Texas; Greensboro, N.C.; and Myrtle Beach, S.C. Risks exist outside of home supply.

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the two mortgage market giants that buy, securitize, and guarantee loans from lenders, have been under government conservatorship since the 2008-09 financial crisis. The first Trump administration sought to remove the companies from conservatorship but stopped short. If the mortgage giants ultimately lose their implied government guarantees, mortgage rates would probably climb. “Our housing finance system, while it’s probably not how you would have drawn it up on a whiteboard from scratch, is the envy of the world,” says Bob Broeksmit, the CEO of the Mortgage Bankers Association.

“Any responsible exit would be accompanied by a legislated explicit guarantee on the mortgage-backed securities of Fannie and Freddie so as not to jeopardize that system.” How—and whether—the administration releases the companies from conservatorship has yet to be seen. Bill Pulte, Trump’s nominee to lead the Federal Housing Finance Agency— which regulates Fannie and Freddie— noted the risks at his confirmation hearing in February.

“While their conservatorship should not be indefinite, any exit from conservatorship must be carefully planned to ensure the safety and soundness of the housing market without upward pressure on mortgage rates,” said Pulte, whose grandfather started home builder PulteGroup, of which Bill Pulte is a former director.

Home purchases have already slowed because of high prices and a lack of resale inventory. Builders have been offering incentives to lure buyers, and investors are souring on the sector. The iShares U.S.Home Construction exchange-traded fund is down about 6.1%so far this year, compared with the S&P 500 index’s 1.9%loss. “The worry in the stocks is that margins are going to compress,” says BTIG analyst Carl Reichardt.

The headwinds could weigh on new-home construction for months or even years. That could push up prices further. “Anything that makes home prices increase more than they would otherwise is concerning,” says Broeksmit of the Mortgage Bankers Association. “We don’t want a generation that has given up on homeownership.” 

SourceL: Barrons