PH unemployment at 3-year high

The country's labor market worsened in July following the series of typhoons that struck the country, the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) reported on Wednesday.

The country’s unemployment rate was recorded at 5.3 percent, up from 4.1 percent and 3.7 percent a month and year earlier. This is the highest recorded jobless rate since June 2022 at 6.0 percent.

source: PSA

This translates to 2.59 million unemployed Filipinos, higher than the 1.95 million and 2.38 million recorded in June and July 2024.

Meanwhile, underemployment — which counts those looking for more work or an extra job — rose to 14.8 percent, up from 11.4 percent in June. It is also higher than the 12.1 percent recorded a year ago.

The number of underemployed individuals stood at 6.80 million. These are workers who expressed a desire for additional hours in their current job, an additional job, or a new job with longer hours.

Employment rate, meanwhile, dropped to 94.7 percent, lower than the 96.3 percent and 95.3 percent recorded a month and year earlier. The number of individuals with jobs reached 46.05 million.

The country’s Labor Force Participation Rate (LFPR) in April was registered at 60.7, markedly lower than the 65.7 percent in June and 63.5 percent in July 2024.

Source: Manila Times

Philippine inflation quickens to 1.5% in August

Headline inflation picked up to 1.5% in August, driven by higher food, electricity and fuel prices, the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) reported on Friday.

Last month’s consumer price index (CPI) was faster than the 0.9% in July but slower than the 3.3% logged a year ago.

The August print fell within the central bank’s 1%-1.8% forecast for the month.

August also marked the sixth month in a row that inflation settled below the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas’ (BSP) 2-4% target range.

For the first eight months, headline inflation averaged 1.7%, on par with the BSP’s 1.7% target for 2025.

Meanwhile, core inflation, which excludes volatile prices of food and fuel, quickened to 2.7% from 2.3% in July and 2.6% last year. It averaged 2.4% in the January-August period.

The heavily weighted food and nonalcoholic beverages were the primary driver of faster inflation during the month, National Statistician Claire Dennis S. Mapa said

Source: Business World

Philippine economy now at a ‘sweet spot’

The Philippine economy now sits at a “sweet spot” as inflation remains benign while the country’s banking sector and external position are strong, the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) said.

“Amid the swirling controversies over corruption, I am pleased to report a piece of good news. We think the economy is in good shape,” BSP Governor Eli M. Remolona, Jr. said during a briefing at the Senate on Monday.

“Indeed, our economy is in what I would call a ‘sweet spot,’ and I think this would help our fiscal strategy (to) make it more effective,” he added.

For the first half, gross domestic product (GDP) growth averaged 5.4%, slower than the 6.2% a year ago.

Inflation averaged 1.7% in the January-July period, below the BSP’s 2-4% annual target.

Mr. Remolona said the central bank tamed inflation with its aggressive rate hikes.

Last week, it cut its key policy rate by 25 basis points (bps) to 5%. The central bank has so far lowered borrowing costs by a total of 150 bps since it began its easing cycle in August 2024.

“This lowering of the policy rate stimulates demand, it helps the economy grow, and because we did it in a very measured approach, it hasn’t led to inflation,” Mr. Remolona said.

He said inflation looks like it will stay within BSP’s 2-4% target range.

The BSP projected inflation to average 1.7% this year, before picking up to 3.3% in 2026 and 3.4% in 2027.

At the same time, Mr. Remolona also attributed the economy’s current state to the “sound” performance of the local banking system.

“The banks have solid balance sheets, assets are growing, deposits are growing, (and) income of banks is growing,” he said.

Mr. Remolona added that banks have maintained enough capital and liquidity.

“Looking at liquidity standards, international liquidity standards, our banks also hold liquidity that far exceeds the international standard,” he said. “At the same time, the loans are not so risky.”

Mr. Remolona also said digitalization and financial inclusion can help increase consumers’ savings, especially in a country where “savings rate tends to be quite low.”

Meanwhile, the BSP chief said the country has “more than enough” international reserves.

At end-July, the country’s gross international reserves slipped to $105.4 billion from $106 billion in June.

Source: Business World