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  • Writer: Ziggurat Realestatecorp
    Ziggurat Realestatecorp
  • May 12
  • 4 min read

The Philippine real estate market in 2026 feels very different from the high-growth years many investors got used to. Developers are more cautious, new launches are slowing, and a wave of completed units is entering the market. Prices are no longer rising as predictably as before, and financing costs remain relatively high.

In this environment, the smartest shift isn’t necessarily where to invest—but how. Increasingly, investors are moving away from speculative pre-selling and toward something far more grounded: leasing and rental income.


From Capital Gains to Cash Flow


Pre-selling used to be the go-to strategy. Buyers would enter early, secure a lower price, and expect to profit by the time the unit was completed. That approach depended heavily on rising prices and strong demand at turnover.


Today, those assumptions are less reliable. With more supply coming into the market and buyers becoming more price-sensitive, the upside from flipping or quick resale has narrowed. Investors are realizing that waiting two to four years for a payoff—without guaranteed appreciation—carries more risk than it used to.


Leasing, on the other hand, shifts the focus from uncertain future gains to predictable, ongoing income. Instead of hoping the market moves in your favor, you start earning from your property almost immediately.


Why Leasing Makes More Sense Now


The appeal of leasing in 2026 comes down to timing and stability. Rental demand remains solid across key segments of the population. Many young professionals are delaying homeownership due to higher loan costs. Employees in the BPO sector are returning to office-based work, increasing the need for nearby housing. At the same time, digital nomads and short-term renters are adding a flexible layer of demand in lifestyle and tourism areas.


This creates a wide and relatively resilient tenant base. In practical terms, a well-located unit has a strong chance of being occupied, even if selling it quickly at a profit is no longer guaranteed.


There’s also a structural advantage working in favor of leasing investors: supply conditions. As more projects reach completion, buyers have more options. That puts pressure on sellers and developers, often leading to better pricing, more flexible terms, or discounts—especially in the secondary market. For an investor focused on rental income, this is an opportunity to enter at a lower cost and improve yield from day one.

Another important signal comes from the developers themselves. Many of the country’s largest property companies are placing greater emphasis on recurring income streams—malls, offices, hotels, and rental portfolios. This shift reflects a broader industry realization: steady income is more reliable than one-time sales in a volatile environment. Smaller investors would do well to pay attention to that pivot.


The Role of REITs and Changing Investor Mindsets


The rise of REITs in the Philippines has also influenced how people think about property. These instruments are built entirely on leased assets—office spaces, commercial centers, and long-term tenant contracts. Their popularity highlights a growing preference for income-generating real estate rather than speculative gains.

For individual investors, the logic is similar. Owning a rental unit is, in many ways, a direct version of the REIT model: you acquire an asset, lease it out, and earn from consistent occupancy. In a year like 2026, that model feels far more aligned with market realities.


Is Pre-Selling Still Worth It?


Pre-selling hasn’t disappeared, but it has changed. It now requires a longer-term mindset and more careful project selection. The days of easy flipping are largely gone, and investors entering pre-selling projects should be prepared to hold the property beyond turnover.


Success in this segment depends heavily on location quality, developer reliability, and the investor’s ability to sustain payments without relying on a quick resale. In other words, pre-selling has become less about timing the market and more about committing to it.


Where Leasing Opportunities Are Strongest


The most promising leasing opportunities tend to be found just outside traditional prime areas. Urban fringe locations—those connected to business districts but not priced like them—are attracting both tenants and investors. These areas benefit from infrastructure improvements and offer more accessible rental rates, making them appealing to working professionals.


Proximity to office hubs remains a key advantage. Areas near BPO centers or established commercial districts continue to provide a steady stream of tenants, which helps reduce vacancy risk. Meanwhile, tourism-driven markets present a different kind of opportunity. Coastal and lifestyle destinations can generate higher rental yields, particularly through short-term stays, although they require more active management.

At the lower end of the market, affordable housing segments remain consistently in demand. While rental rates are lower, occupancy is often high, providing steady—if modest—returns.


Balancing Opportunity and Risk


Leasing is not without its challenges. Vacancy periods can occur, especially in oversupplied condo zones. Maintenance costs, tenant turnover, and property management responsibilities all affect net returns. These are manageable risks, but they require planning and realistic expectations.


The key is discipline. Investors who focus on the fundamentals—location, price, and rental demand—are far more likely to succeed than those chasing trends or overpaying based on outdated assumptions.


A Practical Approach for Today’s Investor


In 2026, a more grounded strategy is emerging. Many investors are prioritizing completed or near-turnover properties to avoid long waiting periods. They are negotiating more assertively, knowing that supply conditions are in their favor. Most importantly, they are evaluating properties based on rental yield rather than speculative price growth.


Financing decisions are also becoming more conservative. Instead of stretching budgets in anticipation of future gains, investors are ensuring that rental income can reasonably support loan payments. Flexibility is another advantage—some properties can be used for both long-term leasing and short-term rentals, depending on market conditions.

The Philippine property market hasn’t stopped offering opportunities—it has simply changed the rules.

Where once the focus was on buying early and selling high, today’s environment rewards those who prioritize income, resilience, and timing. Leasing provides a clearer, more immediate return, while reducing dependence on uncertain market movements.


For investors willing to adapt, the shift is not a setback—it’s an advantage. In 2026, the smarter play is no longer about chasing appreciation. It’s about securing reliable cash flow, and leasing is the most direct path to achieving it.


 
 
 

In the fourth quarter, the Philippine capital was the fourth most affordable city for prime office rent among 23 Asia-Pacific markets, based on the latest edition of the Asia-Pacific Office Highlights by real estate consultancy Knight Frank.


During the period, Manila’s occupancy cost amounted to $29.04 per square foot, dropping by 0.6%. It was lower than the 0.7% average growth of the region.



 
 
 
  • Writer: Ziggurat Realestatecorp
    Ziggurat Realestatecorp
  • Jan 29
  • 3 min read

Metro Manila’s key business districts are expected to face upward pressure on office rents this year, driven by strong demand from multinational firms and business process outsourcing tenants, analysts said.


“Rental performance will continue to be highly district-specific,” Mikko Barranda, director for commercial leasing at Leechiu Property Consultants, said.


Submarkets such as Bonifacio Global City (BGC) are likely to see upward pressure on rents as demand outpaces available supply, he said.


BGC posted the lowest vacancy rate among Metro Manila office submarkets at 9% as of end-2025, according to Leechiu Property Consultants’ Fourth-Quarter Property Market Report.


In contrast, districts with double-digit vacancy rates include Makati City (15%), Ortigas and Mandaluyong City (18%), Quezon City (19%), Taguig City (21%), Alabang (23%), and the Bay Area (28%).


“This trend will be reinforced by limited new completions and strong flight-to-quality preferences among multinational occupiers,” Mr. Barranda said.


He added that major central business districts (CBDs) such as Makati and BGC are expected to continue benefiting from strong tenant preference, constrained new supply, and sustained interest from multinational companies.


Submarkets with higher vacancy levels, however, may see “relatively flat rental growth in the near term,” he said.


Office rents in Metro Manila will remain a “case-to-case” scenario, said Kevin Jara, head and director of office services — tenant representation at Colliers Philippines.

“In established business districts with limited available space, such as Makati CBD, BGC and Ortigas CBD, we expect modest year-on-year rental growth in the range of 1% to 5%, supported by low vacancy levels,” he said in an e-mail.


“So far, we are not seeing any major space surrenders similar to the levels during the POGO (Philippine Offshore Gaming Operators) exodus, that could materially increase vacancy and put downward pressure on rents,” Mr. Jara noted.


However, Colliers is monitoring potential risks to office demand, including corporate layoffs overseas and the progress of proposed outsourcing-related bills in the United States, he said.


These include the Keep Call Centers in America Act and the Halting International Relocation of Employment (HIRE) Act, which aim to protect US-based call center jobs amid rising offshoring and the use of artificial intelligence-powered bots.


The Keep Call Centers in America Act seeks to limit federal benefits granted to companies that outsource call center jobs overseas.


Meanwhile, US Senate Bill 2976, or the HIRE Act, proposes a 25% excise tax on American firms’ payments to foreign service providers for work consumed in the United States.

Jamie S. Dela Cruz, research manager at Savills Philippines, said office rents in Metro Manila’s CBDs are likely to remain tenant-favorable overall.


She noted that elevated vacancy levels in some districts continue to give locators greater flexibility in lease negotiations, she said.


“Despite this, office demand continues to be supported by the information technology-business process management sector, as the industry works to remain competitive by enhancing skills and attracting more global shared services,” Ms. Dela Cruz said.

She added that higher-quality, green-certified office buildings continue to command higher asking rents.


“Less competitive office stock that remains vacant could put pressure to the overall market and potentially further soften rental rates,” she said.


Data from Leechiu Property Consultants showed that as of end-2025, BGC remained the most expensive office submarket at P1,167 per square meter (sq.m.), followed by Makati City at P891 per sq.m.


Other office rental rates were recorded in the Bay Area and Pasay City at P798 per sq.m., Alabang and Muntinlupa City at P787 per sq.m., Ortigas and Mandaluyong City at P738 per sq.m., and Taguig City at P724 per sq.m.


 
 
 

© Copyright 2018 by Ziggurat Real Estate Corp. All Rights Reserved.

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