top of page

The Philippine central bank has slashed its key policy rate by almost two percentage points to 4.75% since last year, but the price of a home loan from the nation’s top banks has barely budged.


BDO Unibank Inc. charges a 6% fixed rate on new housing loans for the first year, with the debt then subject to repricing, or else 6.5% fixed for five years. That’s roughly the same as the minimum offered in 2024, and rates at Bank of the Philippine Islands and Metropolitan Bank & Trust Co. show a similar trend.


Examples of home loan rates November 2025
Examples of home loan rates November 2025

Across Asia, as policymakers have reduced benchmark rates to support economic growth in the face of US tariffs, there’s evidence that banks aren’t fully passing on the cuts to consumers, according to Australia and New Zealand Banking Group. In the Philippines’ case, the stickiness of borrowing costs may prolong a slump that’s left its economy trailing Indonesia and China in growth.


Philippine commercial banks’ average lending rate, after dipping earlier in the year, hit 8.132% in August, up from 8.097% at the end of last year, Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas data show. That’s as the benchmark has been cut 175 basis points since August last year.


For Philippine lenders, there’s little incentive to cut interest rates when a scandal over government graft has rocked confidence, threatening more bad loans. Demand is also weak: growth in household consumption, which accounts for more than 70% of the nation’s output, hit a four-year low in the three months through September as consumers held off spending.


“There’s this corruption scandal. Liken it to a toothache – the rest of the body feels it because everything is connected,” said Jonathan Ravelas, managing director at eManagement for Business and Marketing Services, a Manila-based consultancy. “Banks are cautious because of the economic outlook. It challenges jobs.”


“Banks are exercising prudent credit underwriting, particularly in consumer segments, to mitigate non-performing loan risks,” the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas said in response to questions.


It noted that a survey of bank loan officers showed most expect tighter lending standards for households in the current quarter, “citing a deterioration in portfolio profitability, a less favorable economic outlook, reduced risk tolerance, and weakening borrower profile.”


To be sure, total loans are still gaining, rising 10.5% in September from a year earlier, down from 12.2% at end-2024. And banks have eased up in some ways, with mortgage incentives including lower downpayments; waivers of application, registration and appraisal fees; or free insurance for the first year.


“We’re cautiously optimistic about where lending rates are headed. In the near term, we expect them to hold steady or dip slightly,” said Maria Cristina Go, head of consumer banking at BPI, one of the biggest in the country. “This will depend not only on the policy rates that will impact funding costs but will also consider inflation trends and asset quality.”


BDO Unibank said it expects lending rates for this year and the next two years to be “generally in the same range given current economic conditions.” And BSP data shows the rate at which banks lend to each other is declining.


The BSP says data shows lending rates “generally moved in line” with policy rate cuts, though the range and degree differed across loan types. It added that not all lenders engage in rate competition.


“I’m actually in the camp transmission is getting better,” said Euben Paracuelles, chief ASEAN economist at Nomura Holdings Inc. “It’s certainly not the lowest in the region and I would say compared to past cutting cycles, policy transmission of BSP’s latest rate cuts is improving.”


In the meantime, banks and consumers are cautious amid worsening political uncertainty. In July, President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. unveiled a major campaign against corruption, especially in flood control projects. Massive protests erupted in anger at the scale of the graft, and the government slowed public works spending to allow more scrutiny, with stocks sliding to a three-year low.


Sentiment had already been hit by a year of fierce feuding between Marcos and Vice President Sara Duterte.


The Philippines isn’t alone in seeing banks refrain from rate cuts. Bank Indonesia’s governor last month criticized banks for only cutting lending rates by 15 basis points, even as the benchmark has been reduced by ten times that. In other countries such as Malaysia, however, lending rates are required to be calibrated with policy rates. In Communist Vietnam, the government is driving state-owned lenders to extend credit as it pushes to achieve economic growth to 10% a year.


“Household credit demand has responded uncharacteristically weakly to the recent monetary policy easing cycle in Asia,” ANZ analysts led by Sanjay Mathur and Dhiraj Nim wrote in a Nov. 6 report.


 
 
 

The exposure of Philippine banks and trust entities to the property sector dropped to a six-year low at the end of March, data from the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) reported.


Banks’ real estate exposure ratio slipped to 19.41% as of end-March from 19.75% at end-December. It was also lower than 20.31% in the same period last year.

This was also the lowest real estate exposure ratio recorded in six years or since the 19.2% at end-March 2019.


The BSP monitors lenders’ exposure to the real estate industry as part of its mandate to maintain financial stability.


Investments and loans extended by Philippine banks and trust departments to the real estate sector rose by 7.76% to P3.34 trillion as of March from P3.1 trillion in the same period in 2024.


Broken down, real estate loans increased by 9.1% to P2.97 trillion as of end-March from P2.72 trillion at end-March 2024.


Residential real estate loans increased by an annual 11% to P1.13 trillion, while commercial real estate loans also went up by an annual 7.96% to P1.83 trillion.

Past due real estate loans stood at P149.52 billion, higher by 9.3% from P136.79 billion a year prior.


Broken down, past due residential real estate loans climbed by 14.74% to P107.62 billion, while past due commercial real estate loans fell by 2.56% to P41.9 billion.

Gross nonperforming real estate loans inched up by 0.44% to P111.27 billion at end-March from P110.79 billion a year ago.


This brought the gross nonperforming real estate loan ratio to 3.75% at end-March, lower than 4.07% a year earlier.


Meanwhile, real estate investments also dipped by 1.86% to P372.4 billion as of end-March from P379.45 billion in the same period a year ago.


Debt securities increased by 1.93% year on year to P256.04 billion, while equity securities fell by 9.28% to P116.36 billion.


Joey Roi H. Bondoc, director and head of research at Colliers Philippines attributed the banks’ lower exposure ratio in the first quarter to the drop in consumer demand for housing loans.


In a phone interview, Mr. Bondoc said there have been reports that homebuyers are backing out of their loans.


“Once it enters the bank financing, [the payment] balloons to, say, quadruple, quintuple times. That’s the problem,” he said, noting that some buyers may have been attracted by the low downpayment.


Rizal Commercial Banking Corp. Chief Economist Michael L. Ricafort said real estate developers may also be cautious in managing new supply after the exit of Philippine offshore gaming operators.


“Banks, real estate companies, investors, end-users also cautious on possible slower world and local economic conditions due to Trump’s higher tariffs/trade wars/other protectionist policies and geopolitical risks recently such as the Israel-Iran war,” Mr. Ricafort said.


Mr. Bondoc said he sees some “green shoots of recovery, but those are primarily outside of Metro Manila.”


“The horizontal house and lot projects are still good. But, again, the more expensive projects, say those in Metro Manila, including the condos, the take-up is definitely down,” he said.


Recent rate cuts by the BSP may not have been felt by consumers.


“We’ve seen these reductions already from the central bank since last year. But have we seen an impact, a positive impact, meaning reduced mortgage rates? Not yet. We have not seen that,” Mr. Bondoc said.


On Thursday, the BSP delivered a second straight 25-basis-point (bp) cut, bringing its policy rate to 5.25% amid a benign inflation outlook and slowing economic growth.

It has now reduced benchmark borrowing costs by 125 bps since it began its easing cycle in August last year.


“Our average rate, for example, five-year loans, still at 7.7%. When last year, it was 7.8%. There’s really no sizable, substantial correction or reduction in terms of these mortgage rates,” Mr. Bondoc said.


BSP Governor Eli M. Remolona, Jr. also signaled they could deliver one more 25-bp cut this year.


 
 
 
  • Writer: Ziggurat Realestatecorp
    Ziggurat Realestatecorp
  • May 24
  • 2 min read

Even as the Philippine banking system has remained resilient, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) said risks in the real estate sector and consumer credit still require closer monitoring and could prompt the central bank to intervene.


“Financial stability risks remain contained. The banking system has sufficient liquidity and capital buffers, and nonperforming loans (NPL) are low,” an IMF spokesperson said.


Latest data from the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) showed the banking industry’s NPL ratio eased to a three-month low of 3.3% in March.


“However, parts of the commercial real estate sector have seen persistently high vacancies and falling rents, and NPLs for housing loans remain elevated,” the IMF said.


Property consultant Colliers Philippines expects the vacancy rate for residential property in Metro Manila to hit 26% by yearend, while office vacancies are projected at 22% this year amid condominium oversupply and slow take-up of unsold units.


The BSP in its latest Financial Stability Report noted the “rising NPLs in the real estate sector.”


The NPL ratio for residential real estate was at 6.82%, while commercial real estate NPLs were 2.18% as of September 2024. The bulk (62.5%) of the real estate loan portfolio consists mostly of commercial loans.


The BSP also earlier said the mid- and low-cost housing segments, which account for a large part of residential real estate loans, have driven the rise in NPLs.

Consumer loans are also another area that the BSP needs to keep an eye on, the IMF said.


“The rapid growth in consumer credit, though a relatively small portion of banking assets, warrants close monitoring,” it said.


BSP data showed outstanding loans of universal and commercial banks rose by 11.8% to P13.19 trillion in March from a year ago.


Consumer loans to residents increased by 23.6% in March to P1.64 trillion, mainly due to the 28.8% jump in credit card loans to P959.43 billion.


The central bank must also be prepared to step in, when necessary, the multilateral institution said.


“The BSP should be ready to adjust macroprudential policy in line with developments in the financial cycle to preempt the buildup of vulnerabilities,” the IMF said.


In the same Financial Stability Report, the BSP said that the financial system’s real estate loan exposure will require “closer monitoring amid evolving market conditions.”


Banks’ real estate exposure ratio rose to 19.75% as of end-December from 19.55% at end-September.


This as total investments and loans extended by Philippine banks and trust departments to the real estate sector grew by 5% to P3.31 trillion as of end-December from P3.15 trillion in 2023.


The BSP monitors lenders’ exposure to the real estate industry as part of its mandate to maintain financial stability.



 
 
 

© Copyright 2018 by Ziggurat Real Estate Corp. All Rights Reserved.

  • Facebook Social Icon
  • Instagram
  • Twitter Social Icon
  • flipboard_mrsw
  • RSS
bottom of page