Building permit approvals continued to fall in January

Approved building permits continued to decline by record double digits in January, the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) reported.

The PSA, citing preliminary data, said building projects covered by the permits numbered 12,526 in January, contracting by 14.6% from 14,665 a year earlier.

This was the second straight month that construction starts fell. January’s decline was steeper than the revised 5% year-on year drop logged in December last year.

It was the largest decline to date since the PSA began tracking the indicator on a monthly basis in January 2024. Previously, approved building permits data were released on a quarterly basis.

Building projects in January covered a floor area of 3.72 million square meters (sq.m), up 29.5% from a year earlier.

Construction projects represented by the permits were valued at P48.58 billion in January, 26.1% higher from P38.52 billion a year earlier.

Reinielle Matt M. Erece, economist at Oikonomia Advisory and Research, Inc. said that the decline in construction activity can be an indicator of a “waiting” behavior from developers as they expect rate cuts this year, which can help them save costs in financing these projects.

“I expect this behavior to change this year as rate cuts are seen underway and the price of construction materials has stabilized,” he said.

Last year, the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) slashed benchmark rates by a total of 75 basis points (bps) since its easing cycle in August, bringing policy rate at 5.75%.

However, in February during its first policy meeting this year, the BSP kept its policy settings, surprising market expectations and at the same time signaled fewer rate cuts this year.

BSP Governor Eli M. Remolona told Bloomberg in a televised interview last March 19 that the central bank could still cut rates next month up to 75 bps if economic output weakens.

Headline inflation rose 2.9% in January, steady as December.

In February, inflation slowed to 2.1%, bringing the average inflation rate in the first two months to 2.5%, within the central bank’s 2-4% target.

Additionally, retail price growth in the National Capital Region (NCR) eased to 1.2% in January, its weakest pace in five months.

Construction materials retail price index (CMRPI) in January was slower than the 1.5% in December and 1.4% recorded in January 2024.

On the other hand, construction materials wholesale price index (CMWPI) also slowed to a record 0.1% that month, lower than the 0.2% in December and 1.5% a year earlier.

The CMRPI is based on 2012 constant prices, while the CMWPI is based on 2018 constant prices.

The PSA noted that residential had the highest number of constructions at 7,671 or 61.2% of the total number of constructions during the month.

However, this segment dropped 14.1% year on year. Residential projects were valued at P20.94 billion higher than the P16.35 billion in January 2024.

Single homes accounted for 89.5% of the residential category with approved permits contracting by 11.3% to 6,863.

Permits for apartment buildings fell by 35% to 708, while permits for duplex or quadruplex homes also went down by 13% to 80.

Nonresidential projects, on the other hand, slipped 4.3% to 3,138 from 3,278 from January 2024.

These projects accounted 25.1% of the total and were valued at P24.16 billion, 40.4% higher from a year ago.

Approved commercial constructions which made up 72.9% of the nonresidential category dipped by 3.1% to 2,288 from 2,362 in January 2024.

Institutional permits were also down by 0.6% to 480 while industrial permits fell 13.1% to 193.

Meanwhile, approved agricultural projects went down by 7.6% to 109 from 118 a year earlier. Other nonresidential projects contracted by 26.9 to 68 year on year.

Alteration and repair permits fell by 17% to 977 and were valued at P2.49 billion.

On the other hand, approved permits for additions, construction that increases the height or area of an existing building, surged 24.8% to 463 from 371 in January 2024.

Calabarzon (Cavite, Laguna, Batangas, Rizal, and Quezon) had the most approved building projects, accounting for 26.2% of the total, with 3,279 construction projects, followed by the Central Luzon (1,314 permits) and Ilocos Region (1,135 permits).

The PSA said construction statistics are compiled from the copies of original application forms of approved building permits as well as from demolition and fencing permits collected monthly by the agency’s field personnel from the offices of local building officials nationwide.

Source: Business World

House-sellers forced to temper prices

The rise in stamp duty in England next month has prompted a rush to sell, leading to the widest choice for buyers since 2015

Homeowners trying to sell their property are facing the toughest competition in a decade, according to research from the property website Rightmove.

March has historically been one of the best months for property sellers, but the average price of a home coming to market has risen by only 1.1 per cent to £371,870 this month, as the number of new sellers hits its highest level since 2015.

Colleen Babcock, a property expert at Rightmove, said those who were finding buyers were working hard with their agents to “price competitively”.

“The big milestone ahead in England is the stamp duty deadline and, with a massive logjam of 575,000 moves going through the legal completion process, many cost-conscious buyers will be doing all they can to get their move over the line and avoid unnecessary extra tax,” she said.

Rightmove expects there to be 1.15 million property transactions this year. About 74,000 moves, including 25,000 first-time buyers, are expected to miss the March 31 deadline and complete in April.

Tom Bill, of Knight Frank, the estate agent, said despite the prospect of higher stamp duty in the new tax year buyers had started the year cautiously.

“Most mortgage rates have remained stubbornly on the wrong side of 4 per cent due to volatility on global markets, which means equity-rich, needs-driven buyers have been more active by comparison,” he said.

“We expect low single-digit house price growth this year, but this month’s spring statement and the future rate of UK inflation will be key factors in setting the trajectory of the housing market in 2025.”

Separate research from Savills, the estate agent, found the UK housing market returned to growth last year, driven by a £22.3 billion increase in spending on house purchases. It found the total value of the UK housing market grew by 6.3 per cent to £379 billion.

There were 1.1 million transactions at an average sale price of £343,822. The increase in spending on house purchases was largely driven by a much higher use of mortgage debt, up 18.1 per cent to £24.3 billion.

The greatest increase in mortgage debt was among first-time buyers, where it rose by 21.4 per cent to £12.2 billion.

Source: The Times

More Filipinos choosing to rent–not buy–homes

More Filipino families were choosing to rent spaces rather than own homes, a “notable shift” that was more common among households in the urban jungle of Metro Manila as high costs and slow wage growth dash homeownership ambitions.

That was according to the 2021 results of the Consumer Finance Survey released by the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP), which conducts the nationwide triennial poll to check the financial condition of Filipino households.

Results of a survey of 16,212 families between March and December 2022 showed 11.3 percent of respondents preferred rental accommodations in 2021—the year when the economy slowly reopened from pandemic-led lockdowns that threw the Philippines into a recession.

That was higher than the 10.2 percent recorded in the previous survey round in 2018.

By area, renting or leasing was more common in the National Capital Region (NCR) at 34.9 percent, followed by Balance Luzon at 10.6 percent. But it was less popular in Visayas and Mindanao, where homeownership rates are particularly high.

Nevertheless, survey data showed seven in every 10 families in the country owned or co-owned a house.

Homeownership in areas outside of NCR was at 73.9 percent, much higher than the 43.9 percent rate for the densely populated Metro Manila, where sluggish wage growth may not keep up with rising home prices.

Even during the pandemic, BSP data showed residential property prices in the country grew by 4.9 percent in the final quarter of 2021.

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Apart from the shifts in the mode of home acquisition, the latest BSP survey also provided other insights into the financial condition of Filipino families.

Data showed nonfinancial assets continued to form the foundation of Filipino household wealth portfolios, with home appliances and equipment still being the most commonly owned assets at 96.6 percent.

Within the appliance category, mobile phones (92.8 percent) continued to surpass televisions (81.1 percent) as the most common household item.

Residential properties (69.9 percent) were the second most commonly owned nonfinancial asset of households, followed by vehicles (35.3 percent). Among vehicles, motorcycles (61.7 percent) continued to be the most popular.

The composition of financial assets revealed interesting patterns of financial behavior. Deposit accounts recorded the highest ownership rates at 35.3 percent, followed by traditional cash savings kept at home (28.7 percent) and the rapidly growing category of e-money accounts (24.3 percent).

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Source: Inquirer